The biggest question in this game is whether the Bills offense will be able to move the ball on a Patriots defense that has given up the fewest points in the NFL this year. When it comes to picking this game, my conundrum is that I think the Bills have a slightly more talented team, but I think the Patriots have slightly better coaching, so I'm not sure what to do here.

You know what, I'm going to take a sip of my tequila and egg nog real quick and think about it. This time around, I think we'll see Josh Allen play slightly better, which will lead to the Bills getting revenge and winning. Best pick: Last week, I predicted that the Bills would score 31 points in a win over the Panthers and guess what happened?

The Bills scored 31 points in a win over the Panthers. If you didn't watch this game, and I'm guessing you didn't because it only went to about 1. After Zane Gonzalez went down with a pregame injury, the Panthers needed a kicker, so they organized an impromptu tryout session that included a running back, a wide receiver and a linebacker and the tryout session went exactly how you thought it would go.

A multitude of Panthers attempting to kick the ball is pretty hilarious pic. This video is the entire argument for why running backs, wide receivers and a linebackers should never be kickers. Worst pick: Last week, I picked the Patriots to beat the Colts and if you watched the game, you probably noticed that the Patriots definitely didn't win. I'm not one to make excuses for my bad picks, but let's be honest, this game was played on a Saturday and Saturday games shouldn't count against your picks record.

NFL football on a Saturday doesn't make any sense. It would be like having Taco Tuesday on a Friday. No one wants Taco Tuesday on a Friday. Trust me, I've tried to make it happen. Finally, if you guys have ever wondered which teams I'm actually good at picking, here's a quick look:. Longest current streak of picking a team's games correctly: Bears Eight straight games picked correctly.

Teams I've been the worst at picking this year: Washington , Cardinals , Saints , Titans Longest active streak of picking a team's games wrong: Cardinals Two straight games picked incorrectly. Happy Holidays everyone, and don't forget, if you need a last minute gift idea, just get everyone in your family a DVD copy of "Fast Five.

Should I have won an Oscar in ? Answer is yes. And seriously, I should have won an Oscar. And to be honest, I should also win an award for my picks against the spread from last week. Against the spread in Week ATS overall: You can find John Breech on Facebook or Twitter and if he's not doing one of those things, he's probably sipping on some egg nog tequila. By John Breech. Dec 24, at pm ET 13 min read. Latest Odds: San Francisco 49ers Huntley was way better than expected in that game and that performance has to give Harbaugh pause before he plays Lamar.

Baltimore is on thin ice for the playoffs but a healthy Lamar can win the next two games and they'll be fine. The calculus of playing Lamar too early and not having him for a playoff run doesn't add up. Joe Burrow laying an egg against the Browns might be an outlier -- it looks like he wants to shred division opponents. This is a spot to grab the division and Baltimore is banged up, so I'll take Burrow in a statement game.

Have you seen this absurd spread? The Falcons are favored by nearly a touchdown against the spread-covering Terminator Detroit Lions. I hate the Falcons.

But I think I've finally figured them out -- they beat up on really bad teams and get smoked by anything remotely resembling a playoff team. The Lions try really hard but after their other win of the season, they lost to the Broncos. When you're living on 78 ounces of Dan Campbell being injected into your veins a day, there's going to be a natural endorphin crash after you celebrate a win.

The Jared Goff situation is in flux with amended protocols, so it's impossible to know how that plays out. I'd guess the line moves over a touchdown quickly if Goff was out, but we might not know until Saturday. If you can get the Falcons under a touchdown, I'd take it. Anything more and you wait until the Goff news comes out. The Patriots were a clear play here before the prime-time windfest, but the Bills' COVID issues could shoot this line up over three, which is a little concerning if you get the full Bills offense.

Buffalo scares the hell out of me right now -- Sean McDermott's been on tilt for three or four weeks since the wind game, a crazy comeback against the Bucs where he was crying at halftime and then playing his old team.

He might just be crazy enough to pull off an upset I'm not sure why this total is under Maybe it's the Seahawks-Rams snoozer from Tuesday coupled with a super short week for the Rams causing it. Playing Tuesday and then playing Sunday is a pretty insane ask. That won't get better with Tennessee down two starting offensive linemen. Julio Jones ' surprise availability and A. Brown 's anticipated return gives the Titans a chance, and Mike Vrabel has the rare defensive front that could win enough to force Jimmy Garoppolo into mistakes.

But there's a reason the Titans have lost three of four while the 49ers have won five of six. San Francisco is better. Follow Gregg Rosenthal on Twitter. Visit ResponsiblePlay. Who will win the rubber match between the Bills and Patriots?

What can we expect in the latest installment of a classic playoff rivalry between the Cowboys and 49ers? Does the NFC West produce a striking upset? Will the Bengals snap the Chiefs' win streak? Can the Cardinals stop their skid against the Cowboys? Will the Seahawks keep their playoff hopes alive on the road against the Rams? Can Washington overcome its roster woes against the Eagles? Will the Cardinals complete a season sweep of the rival Rams?

Can the Buccaneers stay hot with the Bills coming to town? Can the Broncos snap the Chiefs' four-game winning streak? Can the Rams snap their losing streak in Green Bay?

Can the Chiefs stay hot in Sunday's marquee matchup against the explosive Cowboys? Can the Packers defend Lambeau Field against the visiting Seahawks? Who takes the Battle of Ohio: Cleveland or Cincinnati?

Game Picks. Related Links. Defensive Player of the Year? Offensive Rookie of the Year? Philadelphia Eagles. New York Giants. Los Angeles Rams. Minnesota Vikings. New England Patriots. Buffalo Bills. WHEN: 1 p. Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Brown will join Odell Beckham Jr. Brown has at least 60 or more receiving yards in four of his past six contests on the road. Playoff and draft implications: Atlanta will be eliminated from the playoffs on Sunday if it loses and either the Vikings or Eagles win.

The Lions are already eliminated and are currently projected to have the No. The Falcons are projected to pick at No.

Injuries: Lions Falcons. What to know for fantasy: That's now three top positional finishes for Atlanta receiver Russell Gage. It is also ATS in its past six games. Matchup must-reads: Rookie St. Brown, like Lions, finishing season strong Gage's emergence comes at a critical time Pitts first rookie Pro Bowl TE in almost two decades. What to watch for: The two fan bases, frustrated by years of ineptitude, might have conflicting emotions for this contest.

Both teams are in contention for the No. So is a loss better than a win? Both teams are desperate for a spark. Since , they are the two worst teams in the NFL. The Jaguars are ; the Jets are Bold prediction: The Jaguars' Trevor Lawrence and Jets' Zach Wilson won't throw any touchdown passes, and the two will combine for four interceptions.

The duo has thrown just 15 TD passes this season and only three since November began Wilson two, Lawrence one , so expecting a shootout is unrealistic. Expecting both teams to surpass 14 points is, too. Stat to know: The Jaguars have failed to score more than 23 points in every game this season. If they don't score 24 against the Jets, they would be the first team since the Panthers to not score 24 points in their first 15 games of the season. Playoff and draft implications: We can skip the playoff part here with both teams eliminated.

This one is all about draft position. The Jaguars are currently projected to pick at No. The Jets currently hold the No. Injuries: Jaguars Jets. What to know for fantasy: In the first game post-Urban Meyer, Jacksonville running back James Robinson piled up 18 carries and six targets.

In the final two games with Meyer on the sideline, he combined for 14 carries and four targets. Betting nugget: Both teams are ATS, the two worst marks in the league. Matchup must-reads: Finally, a normal week ahead for the Jaguars Despite rocky seasons for Jaguars' Lawrence and Jets' Wilson, offers a brighter future Inside the dysfunctional decade of Jets and Giants football: What went wrong, what's next?

They are expected to play on Sunday but are recovering on a short week. It will be one more challenge for a pair of offenses that both rank among the bottom 10 in scoring. Get ready for plenty of talk on the broadcast about Wilson's uncertain future and his eventful offseason, which included discussions between the Seahawks and Bears about a potential trade to Chicago. Wilson went only 1-of on passes of plus air yards on Tuesday. But it also didn't help that he was without his best deep threat in Lockett.

Stat to know: Bears edge rusher Robert Quinn has 16 sacks this season, the third most in a single season in Bears history. He is also the second player in Bears history to record a sack in six straight games Rosevelt Colvin had an eight-game streak from to Playoff and draft implications: Seattle will join Chicago and be eliminated from the playoffs in one of two scenarios: 1 a loss, or 2 wins from Minnesota and Philadelphia.

Neither the Bears nor the Seahawks have their first-round draft pick next April. Injuries: Bears Seahawks. What to know for fantasy: Seattle's DK Metcalf hasn't been a top WR once since returning from the Week 9 bye, finishing outside the top 50 at the position four times over that stretch. Betting nugget: Chicago is ATS as an underdog this season. Matchup must-reads: With Bears eliminated from playoffs, focus shifts to future at GM and coach Seahawks' Metcalf-Wilson connection hasn't quite clicked.

What to watch for: The Chiefs have generally protected quarterback Patrick Mahomes well, but here come the Steelers, who are second in the league in sacks. Chiefs left tackle Orlando Brown Jr. Watt several times when Brown was with the Ravens and knows what a challenge Watt can be on every snap.

Bold prediction: Kansas City running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire will rush for yards for only the third time this season. D'Onta Foreman rushed for yards last week against Pittsburgh, and the Steelers' run defense ranks second to last in the league. I do think we'll get a dose of run. Stat to know: Pittsburgh quarterback Ben Roethlisberger is against the Chiefs, including the playoffs.

That is tied for his most wins against any non-divisional opponent in his career also seven wins against the Colts and Titans. A win by itself locks up a playoff spot. And while they had 0. Injuries: Steelers Chiefs. What to know for fantasy: The passing talent has never been a question, but that's now four straight games for Mahomes with a plus-yard rush. He ran for 32 yards last week against the Chargers, his highest total since Week 7.

Matchup must-reads: The legend of Money, or how the Steelers' Haden found his swag How Mahomes evolved his game, taking a cue from Brady Tomlin: Steelers don't regret Ingram trade to K. Mahomes says he's confident in Gordon if Hill, Kelce out.

What to watch for: Can Broncos quarterback Drew Lock find success against a reimagined Raiders defense? Lock is likely to start at QB for Denver with Teddy Bridgewater 's concussion, and he has played well against the Raiders in the past, passing for a career-high yards in last season's finale. In fact, Lock has not thrown a pick against the Raiders and has a passer rating of at least 90 in two of three career starts against them.